Source:
HedgeweekCastlestone
anticipates a 40 per cent rise in art prices to be realised over the
next 24 months, as the art market continues to pick up from recent lows
seen in Q2 2009.
Castlestone says the equities rally not only
shows signs of improved market sentiment but also highlights an upward
trend as equity prices are up by 70 per cent from the collapse suffered
in Q4 2008.
Equities is considered to be a key indicator when
analysing trends in the art markets, as further research shows art lags
equities by six to 18 months, as noted by the Mei Moses All Art Index.
Improved equity market conditions therefore prove a favourable
investment outlook in art investments.
Gold, also a key
indicator, not only tracks wealth but like art is an unleveraged,
irreplaceable real asset, which investors turn to as a safe haven in
times of uncertainty. Gold has appreciated by 50 per cent since its
decline in November 2008, where prices were barely reaching the USD700
levels.
Art offers investors the opportunity to diversify their
portfolios away from traditional asset classes and the recent recovery
has therefore increased the number of sales volume at the recent
February Sotheby’s and Christie’s Impressionist & Modern and
Contemporary Art auctions up by 153 per cent in comparison to 2009 when
markets where in sharp reversals.
The Art Market Confidence index
has also reported a rise of 29.3 per cent, a six week high, in line
with the S&P 500 up by 5.15 per cent in March.
Castlestone
expects prices to continue appreciating before consolidating in 2011.
“In
times of economic downturn it has become apparent that museum quality
Post-War art has not only increased in demand but also in value,
especially artists who have manifested their names in art history due to
their unique techniques and lifetime achievements have contributed to
sell well,” says Constanze Kubern, senior art adviser at Castlestone
Management. “Modern/Post-War Art has shown to be a safer category
pushing its share of global fine art turnover from 44 per cent in 2008
to 48 per cent in 2009, while contemporary art has dropped from 16 per
cent to ten per cent for this year. Hence, we remain confident that the
Collection of Modern Art Fund’s strategy of investing in modern/Post-War
art is the way to move forward.”
Castlestone Management’s
Collection of Modern Art Fund invests in Post-War art from deceased or
non-producing artists represented in the AMR Post-War Art 50 index.
Artists include Andy Warhol, Yves Klein, Jean-Michel Basquiat, Lucio
Fontana, Jasper Johns and Willem de Kooning.