How bad research methods and interpretation of research results change entire scenario: Study debunks link between moderate drinking and longer life

Probably everyone has heard the conventional wisdom that a glass of wine a day is good for you—or you've heard some variation of it. The problem is that it's based on flawed scientific research, according to a new report in the Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs.

Over the years, many studies have suggested that moderate drinkers enjoy longer lives with lower risks of heart disease and other chronic ills than abstainers do. That spurred the widespread belief that alcohol, in moderation, can be a health tonic. However, not all studies have painted such a rosy picture—and the new analysis sheds light on why.

In a nutshell, studies linking moderate drinking to health benefits suffer from fundamental design flaws, said lead researcher Tim Stockwell, Ph.D., a scientist with the Canadian Institute for Substance Use Research at the University of Victoria.

The major issue: Those studies have generally focused on older adults and failed to account for people's lifetime drinking habits. So moderate drinkers were compared with "abstainer" and "occasional drinker" groups that included some older adults who had quit or cut down on drinking because they'd developed any number of health conditions.

That makes people who continue to drink look much healthier by comparison, And in this case, the researchers noted, looks are deceiving.

For the analysis,  researchers identified 107 published studies that followed people over time and looked at the relationship between drinking habits and longevity. When the researchers combined all the data, it looked like light to moderate drinkers (that is, those who drank between one drink per week and two per day) had a 14% lower risk of dying during the study period compared with abstainers.

Things changed, however, when the investigators did a deeper dive. There were a handful of "higher quality" studies that included people who were relatively young at the outset (younger than 55, on average) and that made sure former and occasional drinkers were not considered "abstainers." In those studies, moderate drinking was not linked to a longer life.

Instead, it was the "lower quality" studies (older participants, no distinction between former drinkers and lifelong abstainers) that did link moderate drinking to greater longevity.

"If you look at the weakest studies," the researchers said, "that's where you see health benefits."

The notion that moderate drinking leads to a longer, healthier life goes back decades. As an example, the scientists pointed to the "French paradox"—the idea, popularized in the 1990s, that red wine helps explain why the French enjoy relatively low rates of heart disease, despite a rich, fatty diet. That view of alcohol as an elixir still seems to be "ingrained" in the public imagination, the researchers noted.

In reality, they said, moderate drinking likely does not extend people's lives—and, in fact, carries some potential health hazards, including increased risks of certain cancers. That's why no major health organization has ever established a risk-free level of alcohol consumption.

"There is simply no completely 'safe' level of drinking," the researchers confirm.

Stockwell, T., et al. Why do only some cohort studies find health benefits from low volume alcohol use? A systematic review and meta-analysis of study characteristics that may bias mortality risk estimates. Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs (2024). DOI: 10.15288/jsad.23-00283. www.jsad.com/doi/10.15288/jsad.23-00283